Lorenzo Negrín vs UD Alajeró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorenzo Negrín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 2
LNE
62%
18%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LNE
1 - 1
TRA
60%
18%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
LNE
23%
20%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LNE
4 - 2
ARM
32%
21%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 4
LNE
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Alajeró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 5
MDT
56%
20%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
ALA
81%
11%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 2
TRA
34%
21%
45%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
COR
1 - 0
ALA
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALA
6 - 4
PLA
50%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |