Lorenzo Negrín vs UD Alajeró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
49%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorenzo Negrín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
LNE
0 - 4
TRE
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
YLC
4 - 0
LNE
84%
11%
6%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LNE
0 - 4
CHI
37%
21%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
STC
4 - 0
LNE
82%
11%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
LNE
0 - 4
VTA
22%
20%
59%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Alajeró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 2
MDT
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 4
ALA
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
YLC
5 - 0
ALA
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 1
VTA
23%
20%
57%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 1
ALA
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |