CD Lorca vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
NOV
0 - 2
LOR
43%
24%
32%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
LOR
1 - 0
IND
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
AGU
2 - 2
LOR
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
MON
1 - 1
LOR
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
LOR
2 - 0
ORI
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
RAY
1 - 4
ELD
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
CAL
1 - 1
RAY
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
RAY
2 - 2
ALM
70%
15%
15%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
RAY
4 - 2
ALI
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
CRE
5 - 0
RAY
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |