CD Lorca vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
CRE
2 - 0
LOR
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
LOR
1 - 1
ELD
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
IND
1 - 0
LOR
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
LOR
3 - 2
ALM
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
LOR
1 - 1
IMP
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
NOV
5 - 2
CIE
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
RAY
5 - 1
NOV
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAL
63%
19%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
AGU
4 - 2
NOV
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
NOV
3 - 0
AGU
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |