CD Lorca vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
ELD
5 - 1
LOR
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
LOR
3 - 1
HEL
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
CRE
4 - 1
LOR
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
LOR
2 - 2
IMP
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
ORI
3 - 0
LOR
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
NOV
1 - 0
ALM
74%
15%
12%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
CFC
4 - 1
NOV
85%
9%
6%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
NOV
3 - 0
CIE
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
ALI
0 - 0
NOV
86%
9%
5%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
NOV
3 - 0
VIJ
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |