CD Lorca vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.9%
9.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
ELC
4 - 2
LOR
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
LOR
1 - 2
YEC
68%
16%
16%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
IMP
0 - 0
LOR
80%
12%
9%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
HEL
4 - 1
LOR
77%
13%
10%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -4 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
LOR
5 - 1
SOR
71%
16%
14%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
NOV
2 - 2
ELD
71%
15%
14%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ASP
1 - 3
NOV
61%
18%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
NOV
3 - 1
CFC
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
NOV
3 - 2
ASP
66%
16%
18%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ELD
6 - 1
NOV
80%
12%
9%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |