CD Lorca vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
14.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
GAN
1 - 1
LOR
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
LOR
5 - 1
VIL
57%
19%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ORI
3 - 1
LOR
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
LOR
6 - 1
YEC
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ALB
3 - 1
LOR
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
NOV
3 - 3
SOR
69%
16%
15%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
ALZ
4 - 0
NOV
56%
20%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
NOV
6 - 1
CFC
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +6 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
HEL
3 - 0
NOV
81%
11%
8%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
GAN
5 - 2
NOV
74%
14%
12%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |