CD Lorca vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ELD
5 - 1
LOR
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
LOR
4 - 1
ELC
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
LOR
1 - 0
ATC
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
JUM
5 - 1
LOR
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALB
21%
25%
54%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
ASP
2 - 1
ALI
30%
28%
42%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
IMP
1 - 0
ASP
89%
8%
4%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
CFC
6 - 1
ASP
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
ASP
2 - 2
ORI
45%
25%
30%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
ROD
5 - 3
ASP
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |