CD Lorca vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
8.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
CFC
7 - 2
LOR
66%
17%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
LOR
3 - 2
HEL
60%
19%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ORI
0 - 1
LOR
74%
14%
12%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
LOR
1 - 0
NOV
79%
12%
9%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
ELC
4 - 2
LOR
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
ASP
1 - 5
ELD
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ASP
5 - 2
IMP
34%
22%
43%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +4 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
CFC
9 - 1
ASP
86%
9%
6%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ASP
2 - 3
HEL
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
ORI
0 - 0
ASP
88%
8%
4%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |