CD Lillo vs Sagreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
37%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
YEL
2 - 0
LIL
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LIL
1 - 0
LIN
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LIL
4 - 0
VIL
56%
20%
24%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
UGE
0 - 4
LIL
22%
20%
57%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LIL
3 - 1
PTO
47%
22%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAG
0 - 2
CON
36%
22%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TOB
0 - 0
SAG
20%
20%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
NAM
2 - 1
SAG
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAG
4 - 1
LOM
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BTO
1 - 2
SAG
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |