CD Lillo vs Poligono Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 1
LIL
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LIL
0 - 1
ASA
30%
22%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
LIL
43%
22%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 3
VAL
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LIL
1 - 0
RVS
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Poligono Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
PTO
3 - 2
MOR
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VSA
2 - 3
PTO
64%
18%
19%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
PTO
4 - 2
BOR
44%
20%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BEL
5 - 0
PTO
55%
20%
25%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 2
PTO
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |