CD Lillo vs Poligono Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RVS
5 - 2
LIL
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
VSA
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
AMI
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
LIL
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
LIL
2 - 1
TOB
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Poligono Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
PTO
0 - 3
CON
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TOB
3 - 7
PTO
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
PTO
0 - 2
NAM
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LOM
1 - 3
PTO
23%
21%
56%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
PTO
2 - 2
BTO
36%
22%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |