Leones vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
28.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
5º
3º
21
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
29 | 39 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 39 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
31 | 38 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 37 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 32 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 32 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 30 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 26 |
8º
|
41% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 25 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 23 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 19 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 16 |
12º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
98% | 6% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 94% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
CFC
0 - 0
LFC
44%
30%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
LFC
0 - 0
GUA
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
OCT
1 - 0
LFC
46%
30%
24%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
SBC
0 - 4
LFC
7%
14%
79%
|
69 | 9 | 60 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
LFC
1 - 0
ESA
44%
30%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
CSV
2 - 1
JUL
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 3
CSV
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
CSV
2 - 2
CAV
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 22 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
INJ
0 - 0
CSV
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
CSV
1 - 2
ESA
42%
31%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |