La Asunción vs Chagüite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
70.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Asunción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
LAS
78%
13%
8%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
LAS
1 - 2
PAS
6%
14%
81%
|
9 | 58 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Chagüite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
PAS
7%
14%
79%
|
19 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
LAS
78%
13%
8%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |