Juvenia vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juvenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CDB
0 - 3
JUV
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
JUV
4 - 0
ALC
78%
14%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
JAV
1 - 3
JUV
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAR
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
JUM
0 - 3
JUV
16%
19%
64%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 1
ALB
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LIS
1 - 2
VIL
34%
22%
45%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
PAL
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IFA
1 - 4
VIL
26%
21%
53%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CDB
1 - 2
VIL
46%
22%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |