Julian Marias vs Racing San Blas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
61.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Julian Marias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CDT
1 - 0
CDJ
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Racing San Blas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RSB
3 - 3
CDC
50%
21%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
RSB
2 - 1
CLU
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CAS
3 - 10
RSB
54%
20%
26%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 2
RSB
62%
18%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
RSB
3 - 4
ESP
23%
19%
59%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |