Julian Marias vs AD Sporting San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
33.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Julian Marias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LPV
4 - 2
CDJ
83%
10%
8%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CDJ
0 - 6
FOM
14%
16%
70%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 3
CDJ
48%
19%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CDJ
0 - 4
CAN
35%
20%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LSA
3 - 2
CDJ
48%
21%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AD Sporting San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FUE
2 - 4
ADS
56%
19%
25%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
LIC
5 - 0
FUE
40%
21%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FUE
1 - 3
CDR
63%
17%
20%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
POL
3 - 2
FUE
49%
20%
31%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FUE
0 - 1
LPV
47%
20%
33%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |