Julian Marias vs Conde Orgaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
7.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.5%
73%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
6%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Julian Marias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CDJ
0 - 7
RSB
27%
20%
53%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
USF
4 - 2
CDJ
53%
19%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CDJ
0 - 8
CAT
10%
14%
76%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
COL
5 - 3
CDJ
40%
21%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CDJ
1 - 2
ODC
31%
21%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Conde Orgaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ADS
1 - 2
CDO
11%
14%
75%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CDO
2 - 0
LIC
85%
9%
6%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CDR
1 - 4
CDO
18%
17%
65%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FUE
1 - 4
CDO
42%
21%
37%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CDO
3 - 1
LPV
44%
20%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |