Julian Marias vs Catedra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
76.2%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Julian Marias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
COL
5 - 3
CDJ
40%
21%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CDJ
1 - 2
ODC
31%
21%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CDJ
1 - 1
POL
28%
20%
52%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ADS
3 - 2
CDJ
58%
19%
24%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CDJ
0 - 3
LIC
52%
20%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catedra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CAT
3 - 1
ADS
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
LIC
1 - 3
CAT
12%
15%
73%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CAT
5 - 1
CDR
77%
13%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CAT
3 - 1
FUE
46%
20%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LPV
0 - 3
CAT
70%
15%
16%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |