Julian Marias vs Arual Canillejas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
66.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Julian Marias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NSD
6 - 1
CDJ
53%
21%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CDJ
0 - 5
SPA
36%
22%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ESP
12 - 0
CDJ
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CDJ
2 - 3
FUE
12%
16%
73%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAO
4 - 1
CDJ
80%
12%
7%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arual Canillejas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ARU
5 - 1
CDC
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 4
ARU
42%
22%
36%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ARU
2 - 0
LSA
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ARU
1 - 2
POL
62%
18%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NSD
0 - 2
ARU
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |