Juan Grande vs Unión Carrizal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
41.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 3
JGR
43%
22%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
JGR
0 - 4
CDT
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
LON
2 - 0
JGR
64%
17%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
JGR
4 - 3
ICO
38%
21%
42%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
UVI
0 - 5
JGR
50%
21%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Unión Carrizal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 1
SPM
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CDE
1 - 8
UCA
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 1
CER
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 0
UCA
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
UCA
3 - 2
SFE
28%
20%
52%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |