Juan Grande vs UD San Fernando B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
61.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
JGR
3 - 4
UCA
37%
22%
42%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
2 - 3
JGR
43%
22%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
JGR
0 - 4
CDT
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
LON
2 - 0
JGR
64%
17%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
JGR
4 - 3
ICO
38%
21%
42%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD San Fernando B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SFE
3 - 0
SPM
68%
17%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 10
SFE
10%
14%
76%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SFE
2 - 1
CER
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 4
SFE
30%
21%
48%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DPV
2 - 0
SFE
49%
21%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |