Juan Grande vs El Cotillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juan Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 2
JGR
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
JGR
1 - 1
BEC
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
JGR
1 - 2
UNI
52%
21%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HBN
3 - 0
JGR
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BLP
2 - 0
JGR
47%
22%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
El Cotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
COT
0 - 0
BLP
39%
24%
38%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
UDB
0 - 2
COT
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 3
COT
11%
19%
71%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
COT
0 - 1
PDS
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
TAR
0 - 0
COT
9%
15%
76%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |