IE University Athletics vs Villacastín Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
69.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IE University Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ESR
7 - 0
UNI
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
4 - 1
SMM
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
3 - 1
UNI
52%
22%
26%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 4
CAN
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
GIM
6 - 1
UNI
55%
20%
24%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
CLA
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MOZ
1 - 2
VIL
9%
16%
75%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
COC
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 2
VIL
14%
18%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 0
PRA
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |