C.D. El Higuerón vs Salerm Puente Genil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+204%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. El Higuerón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 0
CDE
85%
12%
4%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CDE
0 - 1
ATC
11%
19%
70%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CDE
0 - 1
CDA
45%
24%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
REC
4 - 0
CDE
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ADE
3 - 2
CDE
71%
17%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Salerm Puente Genil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CDA
3 - 2
ADE
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 1
CDA
28%
23%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VLL
0 - 3
CDA
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CDA
4 - 2
LAS
58%
21%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
1 - 2
CDA
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |