C.D. El Higuerón vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+204%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. El Higuerón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CDE
0 - 1
CDA
45%
24%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
REC
4 - 0
CDE
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ADE
3 - 2
CDE
71%
17%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CDE
2 - 3
ALM
19%
21%
60%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VLL
3 - 2
CDE
59%
21%
20%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 1
ATC
28%
24%
49%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ATC
3 - 1
ALM
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VLL
2 - 2
ATC
25%
24%
51%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ATC
4 - 0
LAS
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
0 - 0
ATC
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |