Herbania vs Tamaraceite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
15º
13º
41
6º
18º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herbania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
HBN
2 - 0
UPR
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 1
HBN
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HBN
1 - 1
MAR
34%
24%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CSU
2 - 0
HBN
55%
22%
22%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HBN
0 - 0
ARU
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tamaraceite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 0
CDB
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
TAM
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 3
CSU
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ARU
1 - 1
TAM
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 4
PAN
34%
24%
41%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |