Guisando vs A. Candeleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guisando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GUI
8 - 4
HOY
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FCN
2 - 4
GUI
18%
18%
64%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
RAM
72%
15%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
GUI
7 - 1
BUR
74%
14%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ARE
4 - 1
GUI
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ARE
3 - 2
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 2
BUR
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CDS
8 - 2
ATL
55%
21%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
ARE
72%
15%
13%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
MIJ
1 - 2
ATL
61%
18%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |