Guarnizo B vs Fortuna Camargo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
45.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarnizo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 2
GNZ
23%
20%
57%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GNZ
5 - 1
MNT
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MDC
0 - 2
GNZ
43%
21%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
GNZ
3 - 1
SAN
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FOC
6 - 3
RIO
89%
8%
4%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MER
2 - 3
FOC
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FOC
7 - 1
VEL
78%
12%
10%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SRO
0 - 2
FOC
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FOC
4 - 3
AGU
86%
9%
5%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |