Guarnizo B vs Castroverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guarnizo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SJU
2 - 6
GNZ
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GNZ
7 - 1
AFR
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
GNZ
28%
22%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GNZ
3 - 3
LIE
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JDM
1 - 0
GNZ
59%
20%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
RIO
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MER
5 - 1
CAS
31%
21%
48%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 1
VEL
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FOC
1 - 4
CAS
39%
20%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 0
ESP
75%
14%
11%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |