CD Guardo vs Cacabelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CAB
3 - 1
CDG
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
CDG
0 - 1
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CUL
0 - 1
CDG
75%
18%
7%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
CDG
0 - 1
AST
31%
28%
40%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
CDG
1 - 2
PON
31%
27%
42%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CAC
1 - 0
CFP
35%
26%
39%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
CDU
7 - 0
CAC
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CAC
1 - 1
SAL
39%
30%
32%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ACF
4 - 1
CAC
79%
15%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
CAC
1 - 1
ACF
26%
28%
46%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |