Guardense vs Astudillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-123%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guardense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 1
GUA
94%
5%
2%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 3
UDB
56%
19%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ATA
5 - 1
GUA
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 5
CER
13%
16%
71%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 1
GUA
29%
20%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Astudillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
AST
5 - 3
JOP
90%
8%
3%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
AST
14%
17%
70%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CDF
1 - 2
AST
31%
21%
47%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CER
1 - 4
AST
27%
22%
52%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |