CD Guadalcacín vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guadalcacín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
ASJ
3 - 1
CDG
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CDG
2 - 1
ROC
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
CDG
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CDG
0 - 0
LAP
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ECI
2 - 0
CDG
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 5
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ROD
2 - 0
LUC
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
RJA
27%
31%
42%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BET
6 - 0
LUC
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAD
14%
24%
62%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |