G. Castellon A vs E. Castellon A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
72.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
G. Castellon A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DRA
1 - 1
GRA
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
4 - 0
GRA
64%
19%
18%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 5
OLI
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
JUB
2 - 3
GRA
37%
23%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 3
CAS
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
E. Castellon A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
BOR
74%
15%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
OLI
0 - 2
EST
9%
14%
77%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
JUB
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 6
EST
8%
15%
77%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
EST
6 - 0
ORP
88%
9%
4%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |