CD Génova vs CSD Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Génova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
CDG
4 - 2
MUR
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 1
CDG
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CDG
2 - 2
ALA
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ART
1 - 0
CDG
62%
20%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CDG
0 - 4
CES
68%
18%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CSD Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
SFF
2 - 1
CSD
52%
23%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CSD
4 - 2
AND
31%
23%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SLL
1 - 1
CSD
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 1
CSD
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CSD
5 - 0
CAR
44%
24%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |