CD Génesis vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
62.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
24
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
CDG
72%
19%
9%
|
26 | 75 | 49 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
VID
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 67 | 42 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 2
CDG
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 66 | 43 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 1
MOT
16%
24%
61%
|
23 | 75 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
CDG
75%
17%
8%
|
23 | 75 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
RES
3 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 2
RES
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
RES
1 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 1
RES
26%
26%
49%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
RES
49%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |