CD Génesis vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
7º
4º
15
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Génesis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 1
CDG
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 63 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
CDG
70%
20%
11%
|
17 | 75 | 58 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 2
VID
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 1
CDG
72%
18%
10%
|
17 | 76 | 59 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
CDG
3 - 1
VIC
7%
15%
78%
|
16 | 61 | 45 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
RES
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
2 - 0
JAG
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
JAG
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
3 - 3
OLI
23%
27%
50%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |