Miguel Iturralde vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
81.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Iturralde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
PAT
1 - 1
MIG
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
MIG
9%
15%
77%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MIG
2 - 2
CDC
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 2
MIG
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MIG
2 - 0
CDS
30%
25%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
EME
1 - 0
MUS
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
LIG
2 - 0
EME
52%
25%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
EME
2 - 0
CUN
35%
29%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
EME
44%
29%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
UCE
1 - 1
EME
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |