Fromista vs Alar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fromista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CPB
1 - 5
FRO
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FRO
6 - 3
MON
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AST
1 - 0
FRO
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CDV
3 - 2
FRO
29%
22%
50%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FRO
1 - 1
SAL
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ALA
2 - 2
CAS
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 3
ALA
29%
21%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ALA
4 - 3
VIL
66%
18%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 0
ATA
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
TEL
0 - 1
ALA
60%
20%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |