Fromista vs Alar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fromista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 0
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
FRO
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FRO
6 - 2
GUI
70%
16%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CER
4 - 0
FRO
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FRO
0 - 2
TEL
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Alar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 4
ALA
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ALA
4 - 0
SAL
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
ALA
29%
22%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 2
CDC
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
CDV
1 - 3
ALA
39%
23%
39%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |