CD Fortuna vs Union Deportiva Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VLO
1 - 1
CDF
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 2
CDF
38%
24%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CDF
4 - 0
CMP
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
YEB
4 - 2
CDF
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDF
2 - 5
IVA
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Union Deportiva Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
4 - 0
SAR
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CMP
1 - 3
UNI
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
YEB
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
IVA
2 - 2
UNI
45%
24%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 0
SIE
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |