CD Fortuna vs Trival Valderas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
62.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ADA
1 - 0
CDF
59%
23%
18%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CDF
0 - 1
COL
18%
25%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
CDF
69%
20%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CDF
1 - 2
MEX
16%
24%
60%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
CDF
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 3
COL
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
POZ
1 - 1
VAL
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
NAV
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
RMC
36%
26%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
INT
2 - 1
VAL
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |