CD Fortuna vs AD Parla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
PBO
0 - 1
CDF
69%
19%
12%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CDF
1 - 0
CDV
36%
27%
37%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PNT
3 - 0
CDF
50%
25%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CDF
0 - 2
ATM
25%
25%
50%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FUE
2 - 0
CDF
58%
25%
18%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AD Parla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
ADP
1 - 0
COL
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
POZ
2 - 0
ADP
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ADP
3 - 1
NAV
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RMC
3 - 3
ADP
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ADP
3 - 2
INT
46%
26%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |