CD Fortuna vs Móstoles CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDF
2 - 4
UNI
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VLO
1 - 1
CDF
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 2
CDF
38%
24%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CDF
4 - 0
CMP
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
YEB
4 - 2
CDF
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAR
1 - 3
MOS
44%
24%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MOS
1 - 0
CMP
38%
25%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
YEB
6 - 2
MOS
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 2
IVA
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
MOS
69%
19%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |