CD Fortuna vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
PBO
1 - 3
CDF
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
CDF
0 - 0
MAA
33%
27%
40%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
ATM
2 - 0
CDF
35%
26%
39%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1996 |
ORC
0 - 3
CDF
72%
18%
10%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
CDF
2 - 1
ADP
22%
24%
54%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
SFN
2 - 1
ORC
47%
24%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
ADP
1 - 2
SFN
46%
27%
27%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
SFN
2 - 1
STA
39%
27%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1996 |
PEG
2 - 1
SFN
49%
27%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
SFN
3 - 1
ALC
61%
22%
16%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |