CD Fortuna vs At. Valdemoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
COL
4 - 1
CDF
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
CDF
1 - 1
SFN
29%
28%
44%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
PBO
1 - 3
CDF
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
CDF
0 - 0
MAA
33%
27%
40%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
ATM
2 - 0
CDF
35%
26%
39%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
At. Valdemoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
VAL
0 - 1
ORC
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
ADP
0 - 3
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
VAL
3 - 4
STA
47%
25%
29%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
PEG
4 - 1
VAL
53%
26%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |