CD Fortuna vs Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALU
2 - 0
CDF
52%
24%
25%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CDF
1 - 4
ARA
32%
23%
46%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDF
1 - 0
PNT
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
4 - 2
CDF
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CDF
5 - 0
VIL
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 1
CAM
28%
23%
50%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
YEB
3 - 1
ARG
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ARG
4 - 3
MOB
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
RMC
3 - 1
ARG
43%
22%
36%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 3
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |