CD Fortuna vs El Álamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 1
CDF
43%
25%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CDF
1 - 1
COL
30%
25%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PBO
2 - 2
CDF
68%
20%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CDF
0 - 0
COL
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 0
CDF
35%
25%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Álamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
COL
6 - 0
ALA
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 1
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
GRI
1 - 0
ALA
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALC
48%
23%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LOE
1 - 1
ALA
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |