CD Fortuna B vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Fortuna B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
FOB
56%
20%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NCD
1 - 1
FOB
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
FOB
0 - 2
LAB
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 3
FOB
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FOB
2 - 1
RAY
49%
21%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 5
SPB
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 0
UCA
48%
21%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 1
NCD
72%
16%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
LAB
4 - 1
UCA
53%
20%
26%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
UCA
4 - 1
FUE
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |