Femsa vs Girod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
12.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Femsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
UBC
1 - 0
FEM
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
FEM
4 - 2
CAR
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
AGR
5 - 0
FEM
78%
13%
9%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
FEM
0 - 2
PUL
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
MAN
1 - 0
FEM
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
UDG
1 - 2
ARA
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
AVI
3 - 4
UDG
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
UDG
0 - 3
GIM
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
PUE
4 - 1
UDG
90%
7%
3%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
UDG
2 - 2
CDT
34%
24%
43%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |